These resolve according to the results and release announcement of the second stage of the Pivot, aka whenever real money gets activated or when it's decided that real money won't be activated, plus a up to a week for any announcement to trickle in over the various avenues.
For options about what the release announcement includes, all of the following qualify additively:
an email newsletter blast, if it happens
an on-site announcement page, if it exists
the discord announcement/update (almost certainly happens)
any pre-release announcement(s)
The announcement doesn't include:
clarifying comments and responses by staff
anything a mod says
Close date is speculative and subject to change.
1,000
3.00Very slightly unsure about these options:
Sports markets can't involve real money / prize points / etc
resolves YES. Couldn't find a good source except this comment from Sinclair on discord: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/918236290439335936/1285740810108669963
$10k mana bought or new real money currency deposited on any day w/in a week of release
resolves NO! The most I see is 210k Mana purchased on September 26th which is equivalent to ~2k dollars https://manifold.markets/stats
So most of these are about the announcement right? But some are separately about the future release?
I.e. if next week they say "finally our version of real money trading arrives Sept 25th" some of these resolve based on that announcement whereas "$10k mana bought" refers to when it's actually available?
(Ian mentioned an announcement likely next week and I doubt that will involve anything being launched)