If Binance collapses by the end of 2024, will Bitcoin's price crash by 20%+?
9
42
190
2025
84%
chance

Conditional on this market meeting the requirements to resolve YES.

Then, this resolves

  • YES if Bitcoin drops in value by 20% or more within a month from the collapse, and stays down for a continuous 24h period

  • NO if Binance collapses but Bitcoin doesn't move downward that much

  • N/A if Binance doesn't collapse

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