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MANIFOLD
I will roll 20 dice. How many will come up showing the number 6 face up?
16
Ṁ200Ṁ2.2k
resolved Mar 13
Resolved
3 - 5
100%56%
3 - 5
31%
0 - 2
9%
6 - 8
2.0%
9 - 11
1.0%
12 - 14
1.0%
15 - 17
0.5%
18 - 20

Resolution Criteria

Roll 20 standard six-sided dice. Count the number of dice showing a 6 face up. The market resolves to this count. All dice must be rolled simultaneously or in sequence without replacement, and the count must be taken immediately after all 20 dice have been rolled.

Background

When rolling 20 fair dice, the expected number of 6s is approximately 3.33 (since each die has a 1/6 probability of showing a 6). The actual outcome will follow a binomial distribution, with results ranging from 0 to 20, though outcomes between 1 and 7 are most likely.

Considerations

The resolution depends entirely on the physical outcome of the dice rolls. Use dice that are reasonably balanced and fair. Using digital dice.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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