Who denies the result of the 2024 election?
Basic
52
แน€7042
Jan 1
28%
Jreg
6%
Vladimir Putin
6%
Kamala Harris
5%
Allan Lichtman
4%
Tim Walz
1.5%
Donald Trump
1.1%
JD Vance

Denying official election results makes that person resolve YES. Otherwise, resolves NO on 2025 Jan 1 00:00 EST

To count as "denying official election results," any such denial must be outcome determinative and written/spoken by the person themself. Reposts count if and only if the original content explicitly alleges outcome-determinative fraud and is from a high-profile actor (e.g. a president, former president, vice presidential candidate, congressman, senator, governor, etc.; NOT a journalist, anonymous account, retired Navy SEAL, etc.)

Statements like "we can't be sure who really won the 2024 election" count as outcome determinative because they shed doubt on the outcome of the election.

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bought แน€5 Donald Trump NO

Trump's odds shouldn't be higher than the odds of him winning right??

@traders Edited description to make resolution criteria more clear. If you have any more questions, feel free to ask. I think this captures the gist of what I would consider election-denying.

@mattyb Elon has to be the one denying election results. Repost doesn't count, unless I suppose he retweets Trump or Vance or etc.. I'll actually edit that into description.

Elon Musk
bought แน€250 Elon Musk NO

I can see JD going down with the ship, but I think Elon is self-interested enough that it has a 40% chance of not happening (in case of Trump loss)

@creator What has to be questioned for this to count?
Is it only about the overall winner?
Does denying the winner of a state count for this?
How about saying the popular vote count for some state is incorrect. (e.g. Trump wins PA, but says he actually won it by more than the official count)

@DanielTilkin Anything that denies the result of the 2024 election. In other words, anything that would be outcome-determinative.

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