Will Dwayne Johnson run in the next US presidential election?
5%
chance

If he makes a bid for the presidency either for a party or as an independent.

This is about making any sort of bid - even if he ultimately fails to get on the ballot.

Will resolve YES only when there is an official statement from Johnson saying he will run.

https://www.dwayneforpresident.com/

Close date updated to 2024-11-30 11:59 pm

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StanPinsent avatar
Stan Pinsent
sold Ṁ16 of NO

So we're saying he has a ~20% chance of winning if he runs? https://manifold.markets/Mosiah/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us

StanPinsent avatar
Stan Pinsent
is predicting YES at 7%