Will Trump suffer a major medical incident before the 2024 election?
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35
Ṁ2735
Nov 6
20%
chance

Trump is dealing with a lot at the same time:

  • 77 years old

  • A struggling business, even before his initial election bid

  • 91 felony charges

  • Election campaign

Thus, this market wants to approximate the chances Trump a major medical indicent before the 2024 election.

This market will resolve in YES if there are public reports of Trump suffering from a potentially life-threatening condition (ex: stroke, heart attack, etc). This will include him suffering complications from other conditions, such as getting an infection from an elective surgery.

Otherwise, this market will resolve as NO.

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