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Will Trump suffer a major medical incident before the 2024 election?
Basic
31
Ṁ2.5kNov 6
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump is dealing with a lot at the same time:
77 years old
A struggling business, even before his initial election bid
91 felony charges
Election campaign
Thus, this market wants to approximate the chances Trump a major medical indicent before the 2024 election.
This market will resolve in YES if there are public reports of Trump suffering from a potentially life-threatening condition (ex: stroke, heart attack, etc). This will include him suffering complications from other conditions, such as getting an infection from an elective surgery.
Otherwise, this market will resolve as NO.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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