Will Trump suffer a major medical incident before the 2024 election?
Standard
35
Ṁ2735Nov 6
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump is dealing with a lot at the same time:
77 years old
A struggling business, even before his initial election bid
91 felony charges
Election campaign
Thus, this market wants to approximate the chances Trump a major medical indicent before the 2024 election.
This market will resolve in YES if there are public reports of Trump suffering from a potentially life-threatening condition (ex: stroke, heart attack, etc). This will include him suffering complications from other conditions, such as getting an infection from an elective surgery.
Otherwise, this market will resolve as NO.
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