Will Sam Altman and Greg Bockmam start a new company together before 2025?
46
Ṁ11KṀ870
2024
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ100 +900.8%
New probability
10%
Resolution Criteria
The market resolves to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2024, Sam Altman and Greg Bockman have publicly announced the founding of a new company where they are both official co-founders or equivalent founding members.
It resolves to “No” if there is no such announcement by this date.
The announcement must be verifiable through credible media outlets, press releases, or official statements from Sam and Greg
If Sam or Greg join an existing company in a founding-level role, such as through a company restructuring or a new initiative, this will not count unless it is branded and established as a new company entity.
Related: https://manifold.markets/Soli/why-was-sam-altman-fired-to-acceler?r=U29saQ
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