If the No Labels party fields a candidate, will they poll above 3% a month after announcement, according to RCP?
2
Ṁ140Ṁ20resolved Apr 4
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve according to RCP’s N-way polling average, currently here: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy
If RCP doesn’t add within a month, I will fall back to these sources in order:
538
Economist
The Hill
(Open to more if suggested and reputable)
If No Labels does not announce a candidate by the end of June, resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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