Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP: .INX) From 2pm-4pm Move Higher On Tue. December 19th? {DAILY}
Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP: .INX) From 2pm-4pm Move Higher On Tue. December 19th? {DAILY}
11
230Ṁ312resolved Dec 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
S&P 500 (INDEXSP: .INX)
S&P 500 closes at 4pm ET (9pm UTC)
Predictions close at 345pm ET (845pm UTC)
Resolves No If Closes Flat Compared To 2pm Price.
Resolves according to the display at *Google Finance at the end of the day.
Examples:
Higher (YES)
Lower (NO)
DASHBOARD (General Info, Top 10 Prize Info, Bonus Mana Rewards Info, etc.)
LEADERBOARD STATS (Bots are excluded)
I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
*If Google Has A Visual Error (eg. Green chart/negative closing price ; Red chart/positive closing price) This Will Resolve To The Closing Price Of Majority Same Numbers Reported By Yahoo/Marketwatch/WSJ/CNBC
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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