Will eight or more people put in a prediction on this market?
Bots do not count. If I predict, I do count.
I may close this market early if the answer is YES but I won't extend the close date if the answer is NO.
It took less than ten mintues for six people to predict in the "six or more" market and it took about an hour and a half for seven people to predict in the "seven or more" market. Does that point at a pattern for this market?
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ6 |
@Chad Can administrators, moderators, Trustworthy (And ish) users, or anyone who knows about the rules, clarify this if this is a violation of guidelines?
@Chad this market can resolve both ways. So it does not violate the rule. Self-predicting questions are like half of the whole number on the platform, and this one is not even as strange as others.
@KongoLandwalker the entire whale market is a pretty obvious example (# of traders is sole factor in outcome), not that I care
@Chad I'd happily change the way I'm doing this if it breaks the rules, but I'm not really sure how this breaks the rules in a way that some of the most popular markets don't?
If you order the markets by "new" or "recently resolved", you'll see lots of markets with something along the lines of "this market will resolve to YES if xx happens" in terms of predicting and the most traded market today is based on how many people are trading vs how big the biggest trades are. So if those are allowed, I'm not sure which rule my market breaks!
Specifically to the two examples in your screenshot - I don't say that the market will resolve a certain way (in fact, I thought the fun would be in increasing the number by one each time until it resolves to NO) and I don't cap the amount that any individual can bet.
@SimonGrayson Yeah yeah I wasn't making accusations. I was just wondering if this breaks the rules. Cuz I don't know how admins will interpret this rule that's why