A man has reportedly set himself on fire outside the court where Donald Trump’s criminal trial is taking place:

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/19/trump-trial-person-fire

There is already speculation as to whether he did so in support of Donald Trump, in opposition to him or for an unrelated reason.

Will it emerge that he was pro-Trump, anti-Trump or neither?

If it’s not possible to make a judgement by the end of April based on the publicly available information about him, this will resolve to the “neither/neutral” option.

Since the resolution may end up being partially subjective, I will not trade on this market.