Nadine Dorries has stood down as an MP with immediate effect:
This should lead to an imminent by-election.
Will the Liberal Democrat candidate win the seat?
/SimonGrayson/midbedfordshire-byelection-nadine-d-a1c7db83e497
/SimonGrayson/midbedfordshire-byelection-nadine-d
/SimonGrayson/midbedfordshire-byelection-nadine-d-58d541c7bdd7
/SimonGrayson/midbedfordshire-byelection-nadine-d-1a39fdaf45c7
If there is no Lib Dem candidate standing in this by-election, this market resolves to NO.
If there is no by-election between now and the next General Election, this market will resolve to N/A
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ145 | |
| 2 | Ṁ92 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ55 | |
| 5 | Ṁ43 |
can I suggest the next time one single market with all the parties?
it also helps to have one single comments section so we can banter on it
@palcu Absolutely! I created this market before Manifold had proper linked multiple choice markets.
The old version of multiple choice markets included a kind of betting pool payout system where you get a share of the winnings regardless of what the odds were. when you bet. So if you bet on a candidate at 1%, you'd have your winnings reduced if more people bet on them afterwards. That was obviously not suitable for this market, so I created it as four separate markets instead. I wouldn't do that next time!
I blame Nadine Dorries for taking so long to actually resign after she said she would...