Will S&P 500 futures be higher at the end of Trump’s Iran address than at the start?

Question

∙	Resolves YES if the E-mini S&P 500 front-month contract is higher when Trump finishes speaking than when he begins

∙	Resolves NO otherwise

∙	Refers to Trump’s scheduled prime-time speech on April 1, 2026

∙	Resolves N/A if the speech is cancelled

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (7 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).

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