Resolution criteria

The match between Magdalena Frech and Jasmine Paolini is scheduled for January 21, 2026 at the Australian Open. The market resolves YES if the total number of games played across all sets exceeds 15, and NO if it is 15 or fewer. Resolution will be determined by the official match score as reported on ATP/WTA official records or major tennis tracking sites like Sofascore.

Background

The head-to-head record between Frech and Paolini is 1-1, with Frech winning 6-2 6-3 at the Madrid Open and Paolini winning 6-1 6-3 at Cleveland. Women's tennis matches are played in best-of-three formats, meaning a set is typically won by the first player to reach six games with at least a two-game advantage (e.g., 6-4 or 7-5). If a set reaches 6-6, a tiebreak is used to decide the winner.

Considerations

The minimum number of games in a best-of-three match is 12 (two sets of 6-0, 6-0), while a match with tiebreaks or longer sets can easily exceed 15 games. For example, a 6-4, 6-4 scoreline totals exactly 16 games. Given that both players have competitive head-to-head records, a match exceeding 15 games is reasonably likely.