Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the price of Ethereum (ETH) in USD exceeds $3,000 at 6:00 UTC on January 22, 2026. Resolution will be determined by checking the price on a major cryptocurrency exchange at the specified time. Acceptable sources include CoinMarketCap (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/), CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum), or Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The market resolves NO if the price is $3,000 or below at that time.

Background

As of January 20, 2026, Ethereum was trading at $2,947.86 USD, placing it approximately $52 below the $3,000 threshold. On January 19, Ethereum's price fell below $3,300 to $3,298, then dropped further below $3,200, indicating recent volatility. One price forecast indicates Ethereum's value will increase by 2.45% and reach $3,400.88 by January 21, 2026, suggesting the threshold could be crossed within the market's timeframe.

Considerations

The resolution depends on a specific price snapshot at a precise moment (6:00 UTC on January 22, 2026). Given Ethereum's current proximity to the $3,000 level and recent price volatility, even modest market movements could determine the outcome. Cryptocurrency prices fluctuate continuously across exchanges and can vary slightly between platforms, though major exchanges typically remain closely aligned.