Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin's price exceeds $97,000 USD at any point before 12:00 pm UTC on January 19, 2026. Resolution will be determined using real-time price data from major cryptocurrency exchanges such as CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko, which aggregate prices across multiple exchanges. The market resolves NO if Bitcoin never reaches $97,000 before the deadline.

Background

As of January 14, 2026, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $95,371.54. Bitcoin has recently extended its rally, pushing related equities higher. For most of January 2026, Bitcoin's price is expected to trade within the $92,000–$98,000 range, placing the $97,000 threshold near the upper end of near-term analyst expectations.

Considerations

The $97,000 level represents a key resistance zone that Bitcoin has recently approached. Resistance is near $96K–$100K, and breaking through this level would require sustained buying pressure within a compressed timeframe of roughly 24 hours from the market creation date.