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MANIFOLD
How long will the Musetti vs Machac match last?
3
Ṁ125Ṁ377
resolved Jan 24
100%70%
2 hours 30 minutes or more
9%
Less than 1 hour
6%
1 hour to 1 hour 30 minutes
9%
1 hour 31 minutes to 2 hours
7%
2 hours to 2 hours 30 minutes

Resolution criteria

The match takes place at the Australian Open in Melbourne on January 23, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the official match duration recorded on the ATP Tour website (https://www.atptour.com) or the Australian Open official site (https://www.australianopen.com). The market resolves based on the total elapsed time from the start of the first set to the conclusion of the final set, including all breaks between sets.

Background

The players have met once in professional competition, with Machac winning 1-0 in their most recent encounter in February 2024 at Marseille, where Machac prevailed 6-3 6-2. In past head-to-head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1 hour 23 minutes. Both players are competing at the Australian Open, a Grand Slam tournament where matches are best-of-five sets for men's singles.

Considerations

Grand Slam matches can extend significantly longer than typical ATP Tour events due to the best-of-five set format. The previous meeting between these players lasted approximately 83 minutes, but that was a best-of-three match. Best-of-five matches at Grand Slams frequently exceed 2.5 hours, particularly if sets are competitive or if either player struggles with serve consistency.

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