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MANIFOLD
Will I be able to make my trip to India this December?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ8
Dec 31
54%
chance

For context my mom has a tailbone injury and this depends on her recovery

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if I physically travel to India during December of this year.

This market resolves to NO if I cancel, postpone, or otherwise do not embark on my trip to India by the end of December (e.g., due to my mother's recovery status or any other factor).

Resolution will be based on my direct self-report. If the trip does not happen within the calendar month of December, the market resolves to NO.

Background

The planned trip to India is contingent upon my mother's recovery from a tailbone (coccyx) injury. Tailbone injuries—such as bruises, dislocations, or fractures—typically require conservative management (pain relief, modified seating, and reduced mobility) and often take anywhere from several weeks to a few months to heal sufficiently for independent daily living or travel. The feasibility of departing in December will depend on her pain levels, mobility, and whether ongoing hands-on caregiving is required.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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