Loot boxes don't show up as a trades in the market. This market only resolves YES if there is a holder who has never traded in the market, this will be checked using the API.
This market closes at the end of June 2023.
UPDATE: loot boxes now show up as a trade in the market.
This Market Resolves YES if there is a loot box trade in the market history.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ560 | |
| 2 | Ṁ129 | |
| 3 | Ṁ77 | |
| 4 | Ṁ73 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
@ShitakiIntaki Honestly don't know why the market was so low. And why I didn't buy more :'(
@Fedor Same. The expected value of a lootbox is negative, though I guess that's not stated anywhere before you buy one unless you go looking for info about them. And with SG's markets about them concluded, I didn't expect them to continue being popular.
Now it looks like it's happened twice. I wonder what the odds of that were.
@whenhaveiever There might be some interest vector and possibly some weighting by market activity. For example I don't think you will loot box into a new market with no traders.
If loot boxes are fully random, there's a 50/50 chance the person would be given NO shares. If they do nothing at that point, it resolves YES and their shares are worthless, so they have incentive to either sell their shares or buy more NO shares to disqualify themselves as holders-who-have-never-traded.
@whenhaveiever updated resolution criteria now that loot box shares show up in the trade history for the market