Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040?
4
100Ṁ46
2039
32%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves YES if, by 23:59 Nepal Time (UTC+5:45) on December 31, 2039, Nepal has officially restored a monarchy with a king or queen as head of state, evidenced by either:

    • A constitutional amendment or formal proclamation published in the Nepal Gazette (Nepal Rajpatra), or

    • The official text of the Constitution updated to designate a monarch as head of state (e.g., on WIPO Lex or an official government publication).

  • Non‑binding proposals, party statements, protests, or unofficial “oaths” do not count. If sources conflict, prioritize the Nepal Gazette or an updated official constitution text. Primary sources to check: Nepal Gazette/Department of Printing; Constitution of Nepal on WIPO Lex; Government of Nepal portal. (kathmandupost.com, wipo.int, nepal.gov.np)

Background

  • Nepal abolished the monarchy and became a republic in 2008; a new constitution took effect on September 20, 2015 establishing a federal democratic republic. (reuters.com, en.wikipedia.org)

  • Pro‑monarchy rallies have periodically occurred, including large demonstrations in March 2025 calling for the return of the king and a Hindu state. (theguardian.com)

Considerations

  • Restoring a monarchy would require amending the 2015 constitution: Article 274 mandates a two‑thirds majority in both houses (and provincial consent if provisions affecting provincial powers are implicated), with presidential authentication; recent amendments followed this process. This is a multi‑month legislative sequence. (english.nepalnews.com, kathmandupost.com)

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