MANIFOLD
Will a federal "Major Disaster Declaration" be issued for any US state due to severe weather by March 30th 11:59 PM EST
3
Ṁ200Ṁ160
Mar 30
29%
chance
  • This market resolves to YES if the White House officially issues a "Major Disaster Declaration" (as defined by FEMA) for any US State or Territory specifically citing "Severe Storms," "Tornadoes," or "Flooding" occurring in the month of March 2026.

  • It resolves to NO if no such declaration is made by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2026.

  • Data Source: FEMA.gov Disaster Declarations.

  • Resolution Date: March 31, 2026 11:59 PM EST (or sooner if a declaration is made).

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