Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential election win with 300 or more electors?
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26
แน€1424
2026
54%
chance

Resolves YES if the winner of the next presidential election receives greater than or equal to 300 electoral votes.

Resolves NO if the winner of the next presidential election receives less than 300 electoral votes.

This market counts faithless electors, as having voted with the candidate they picked, as long as their votes were not invalidated.

Resolves N/A if no one has been certified or inaugurated as the US president by the end of 2025.

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@Tripping I searched electors and nothing came up

@ShadowyZephyr it's cool, maybe yours can be the version of the market that takes into account faithless electors

@Tripping Ok I will edit to include that

@Tripping I'm new, is there a good way to make sure that the market I'm trying to post is not duplicate? Since you used "electoral votes" instead of "electors" it didn't come up when I searched it.

@ShadowyZephyr no idea, I have this problem too. Manifold search functions aren't great

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