Will Breece Hall record more Rush Yards Over Expectation than Dalvin Cook during the 2023 season, per Next Gen Stats?
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150แน€1077
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES

Note this question refers to the 2023 regular season only

Next Gen Stats determines the exepected yards of a play based on the positioning and movement of all 22 players on the field at the time of handoff. RYOE is how many yards over or under expectation a rusher records.

The stat can be found here: https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/rushing#ryoe

More detailed model explanation: https://www.nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-intro-to-expected-rushing-yards

RYOE by season

Cook
2018: +19
2019: +86
2020: +171
2021: +38
2022: -21

Hall
2022: +107

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Final tally:

Hall: +146
Cook: -83

predictedYES

@SethWalder barnburner

Update as of 12/15

Hall: +92
Cook: -84

Does Dalvin Cook have to qualify with enough carries for this bet to resolve as not N/A haha

@StopPunting Hmmmmm. I hadn't considered this. I have access to players' RYOE regardless of qualifying so I can provide the answer even if not. But I realize this could be unideal because if he's not on the leaderboard during the season that makes it harder to trade/could be an unfair advantage (for me, happy to not trade this market anymore though). Open to thoughts.

predictedYES

@SethWalder Looks like the end of year caps out at 90 for that leaderboard, so I'm not sure he will make it given his current usage. I think if you provide the updated number for Dalvin Cook each week, it would be fair (I'm assuming you have private/non shareable access to the full data/just realized you could be the ESPN Analytics writer)? Obviously I also have a vested interest in it not being an N/A resolution though ha!

@StopPunting Yes, correct. And sounds good! In that case, current status through Week 9 is:

Hall: +131
Cook: -65

@SethWalder least surprising info ever ๐Ÿ˜‚

predictedYES

@SethWalder Going to assume no significant change here? Haha

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