Will F-16s be announced to Turkey in 2023?
Basic
43
Ṁ7907
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Turkey has been asking for F-16 jets for quite a while, but members of the US Congress have resisted.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/13/us/politics/us-turkey-f16s.html

Resolves based on credible media reporting regarding a deal between the Turkish and US government. Only requires an announcement in 2023, not necessarily an actual delivery.

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predicted NO

There have been no announcements, this will resolve no at close time barring something extraordinary and last minute.

predicted YES

https://www.reuters.com/world/turkish-parliamentary-commission-discuss-swedens-nato-bid-tuesday-2023-12-22/

bought Ṁ10 YES from 7% to 8%

Seems very no based on https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/turkey-sought-eurofighters-after-uncertainty-over-us-f-16-buy-source-2023-11-23/

bought Ṁ100 NO from 20% to 17%

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1678643473530929153

Biden plans to move forward with transfer of F-16s to Turkey in consultation with US Congress — Sullivan


If anyone feels a bit more ambitious with F-35s ;)

@JoshuaWilkes https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-turkey-bring-a-fifth-generatio?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz

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