Will Boulder air be smoky tomorrow?
Resolved
NO
Jun 15
M$162 bet
Today when I walked outside I could smell smoke (apparently from a fire near Flagstaff). Will the same be true tomorrow? (If it's weak enough that I wouldn't notice without having been aware in advance, this will resolve NO.)

💬 Proven correct

ScottLawrence
Scott Lawrence bought M$132 of NO
The air is so non-smoky that I kept forgetting about this question. Then I went outside and tried to smell smoke and couldn't. So, resolving as no. Making a judgement call like this was more stressful than it should have been, even though I genuinely don't think it's ambiguous. I'm gonna go back to long-term markets where I don't have to worry about figuring out the resolution for a while :)
0
Scott Lawrence made M$59!
ScottLawrence
Scott Lawrence bought M$132 of NO
The air is so non-smoky that I kept forgetting about this question. Then I went outside and tried to smell smoke and couldn't. So, resolving as no. Making a judgement call like this was more stressful than it should have been, even though I genuinely don't think it's ambiguous. I'm gonna go back to long-term markets where I don't have to worry about figuring out the resolution for a while :)
0
ian
Ian bought M$10 of YES
I can smell it in Denver!
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ScottLawrence
Since this question is going to depend on my judgement some, I won't be placing a bet until I've already decided what the answer is (tomorrow around noon).
0