Will Trump make a statement in July implying Biden tried to have him assassinated?
Basic
353
71k
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO
RNC begins

Will resolve according to my opinion on whether the statement implies this

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@SaviorofPlant i can't find anything? probably resolves NO? unless i missed something

I already committed to not trade in this market, but if I could trade I would be buying YES at these prices...

bought Ṁ30 YES from 15% to 17%

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How does this resolves if he talks about how Democrats tried to strip Secret Service protection from him?

Doesn't impact the resolution

bought Ṁ20 NO

“Or potential assassin” might be relevant to this market. https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/112786183121187515

bought Ṁ100 NO

Almost getting shot is one heck of a drug, huh? It makes sense that Trump is calling for unity, but I’m not sure if this is going to alter his actual political policy.

Given the potentially subjective nature of resolution, will you commit to not trading in this market?

I bought and sold a position to increase the number of traders, but I'm done now

ty for the transparency

bought Ṁ50 NO

Does that have a different effect from "Add Liquidity"?

Will a statement like ”maybe he wanted this to happen” resolve this as a yes?

Yes

bought Ṁ150 YES

What about if that statement is about Biden campaign, or ”the Democrats”?

It shouldn't, wanting something to happen doesn't imply partaking in the plan.

Trump PAC retweets VP candidate blaming Biden campaign rhetoric

https://x.com/keithedwards/status/1812288860870549763

Also, how would this resolve if it's a very indirect implication? Like, saying that Biden's ads about a "target" on him led to the attempt?

bought Ṁ50 YES

The statement needs to imply that Biden intended for this to happen

If he's (at least pretty obviously) joking or being toungue-in-cheek, does that count? @SaviorofPlant

If he's clearly joking (like if he says "just kidding" afterwards) it won't count, but it will if it's at all an unclear case in my opinion

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 55% order

YES limit at 55%, come get it