Background

Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm Tej is a tropical cyclone currently in the North Indian ocean, recently intensifying into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm. It is currently at a strength equivalent of a Category 3 hurricane.

Tej is forecast to decrease in strength as Tej approaches the southern Arabian coast.

According to the India Meteorological Department, the rough equivalent to the upper end of a tropical storm is the Severe Cyclonic Storm, with a wind speed of 48-63 kt.

Will Tej therefore make landfall as a Severe Cyclonic Storm or stronger?

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if Tej makes landfall anywhere as a Severe Cyclonic Storm or stronger, including Socotra. according to India Meteorological Department (IMD).

Resolves NO if no such information can be found from the IMD before the dissipation, degeneration below cyclonic storm strength, or extratropical transition of Tej.

Will resolve based on IMD data, with supplemented data from JTWC if necessary. I will not bet on this market.