Would Nicolás Maduro Win the Venezuelan presidential election on the 28 of July 2024
Basic
43
21k
Jul 29
53%
chance

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
sold Ṁ179 YES

@Santiago This only resolves on the results of the election right? So if Maduro gets less votes than his opponent, but shuts down the election, it will resolve no?

Yes, you got it clear

bought Ṁ125 YES

It should resolve on official results though - often the opposition in many countries will do well on the early unofficial count, and then mysteriously lose the final results.

Yes it would resolve on the official result

Any good articles on whether this will be fair?

The good information I have seen is all in Spanish, English media have not talk a lot about this elections.

can you please provide more details on the resolution criteria. If Maduro claims victory, could this still resolve NO? Will you resolve according to the whatever the electoral arbiter?

Maduro's rating are much worse this time compared to 2018, according to Wikipedia's summary:

But the pro-govt Hinterlaces still predicts a PSUV victory.

bought Ṁ100 NO

A little update on polls and likelihood of a fair vote https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-venezuelas-2024-presidential-election

can you please provide more details on the resolution criteria. If Maduro claims victory, could this still resolve NO? Will you resolve according to the whatever the electoral arbiter?