Is there gonna be more than eight hurricanes in US in 2024?
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Ṁ1333
Dec 31
3%
chance

It has to be a named hurricane (e.g. Hurricane Katrina). Whether it's a "major" or a "minor" hurricane doesn't matter as long as it's classified as a hurricane, has a name and strikes in the US.

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Hurricane Beryl hit Texas as a Cat 1
Hurricane Debby hit Florida as a Cat 1
Hurricane Francine hit Louisiana as a Cat 2
Hurricane Helene hit Florida as a Cat 4
Hurricane Milton hut Florida as a Cat 3


5 so far. 3 more seems highly unlikely

Other hurricanes were:
Ernesto no landfall
Isaac no landfall
Kirk no landfall
Leslie no landfall
Oscars landfall Cuba only
Rafael landfall Cuba only

4th hurricane to hit US, Helene. Past half way through season.

4 out of 5 hitting US as a hurricane was insanely high rate. There is now a 6th hurricane which will not hit US. Despite that insanely high rate still not on track for 8.

Does this include all US territories (e.g., Puerto Rico)?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Also, if a hurricane is downgraded to a tropical storm before reaching the US, does that count? (I'm guessing no.)

Or if the outer edge of a hurricane touches a US territory, but that territory never experiences hurricane-force winds, does that also count? (I'm guessing yes.)

Per NOAA: an 85% chance of an above-normal hurricane season is predicted and among tropical storms, “8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes”

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season

@SusanneinFrance That's just for the Atlantic. It's rare, but there could also be hurricanes in the US on the Pacific side.

Based on the data I can find, there were only 19 hurricanes in the U.S. throughout the entire 2010's, and only 3 so far in the 2020's, so I don't see how there could be eight in one year.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml

What if there is a named hurricane that that slows down a little and hits the US as a tropical storm?

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