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MANIFOLD
Will the US Initial Jobless Claims figure published this week be higher than 207,000?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ15
Apr 23
57%
chance

Resolution will be based on official US data and credible reporting, including:

https://www.dol.gov/newsroom/releases/eta

Resolution will be based on the headline number, which is typically rounded to the nearest thousand, not the raw underlying data. If the report is not released this week (before end of Sunday 26th, Eastern Time), the market would resolve as N/A.

I will aim to resolve this market within one day of the market closing, unless there is material uncertainty or disagreement about the outcome. I may bet on this market.

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