Linux market share at or above 5% by 2026?
8
344Ṁ105
Dec 24
35%
chance

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by January 1, 2026, Linux's desktop operating system market share is reported to be 5.00% or higher by a reputable source such as StatCounter . If no such report is available by that date, the market will resolve to "No." The market will close on 25 December to prevent manipulation

  • Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market will resolve based on the Linux desktop operating system market share reported for December 2025. This figure must be 5.00% or higher, from a reputable source (e.g., StatCounter), and this report must be available by January 1, 2026.

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Is this about the percentage at close or does getting above it, at any point, count even if it dips again?

@LiamZ the procentage for December

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