Will Trump's social media app actually launch by Presidents' Day?

197

Ṁ14K

resolved Feb 21

Resolved

YES

ALL

Truth Social, the social media platform associated with former President Donald Trump, is set to launch on Presidents' Day. https://nypost.com/2022/01/07/donald-trumps-truth-social-set-to-launch-presidents-day/ Resolves YES if users can download and use the Truth Social app from the Apple App store any time before the end of President's Day (February 21, 2022). Trading ends the day before. #Trump #SocialMedia #politics #DWAC Feb 20, 12:48pm: Clarification: If a substantial number of users can download the app from the app store (NOT TestFlight), even if access is not fully unlimited, then I'll resolve YES. Feb 21, 11:35am: Truth Social seems to be available in the app store. Resolving YES.

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bought Ṁ200 of YES

Being reported as ready by Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/exclusive-trumps-truth-social-app-set-release-monday-apple-app-store-per-2022-02-20/

bought Ṁ50 of YES

https://www.engadget.com/truth-social-february-21st-report-171032251.html?src=rss Monday seems pretty likely!

bought Ṁ500 of NO

Despite the news, polymarket is still at 4% https://polymarket.com/market/will-trumps-truth-social-launch-on-the-ios-app-store-by-february-21st

bought Ṁ1 of NO

https://www.reuters.com/technology/exclusive-trump-app-opens-hundreds-testers-ahead-expected-launch-2022-02-17/ “Details about former U.S. President Donald Trump's new social media app are trickling out as about 500 beta testers have begun using an early version of “Truth Social”” Looking slightly more plausible for a release on Monday but still dubious

bought Ṁ20 of NO

These things don't tend to get un-delayed.

bought Ṁ18 of NO

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/truth-social-delayed-despite-hype “ Trump Media and Technology Group CEO Devin Nunes announced on Thursday that TRUTH Social was still undergoing beta testing and would release by the end of March.”