Will there by at least 10 Mana-chan tweets by Saturday?
29
534
710
resolved Jul 13
Resolved
YES

Mana-chan is our new anime spokesgirl. You can pay 1k mana to have her tweet: https://manifold.markets/manachan

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

Luckily it's only 40 mana but I do feel a little bit scammed given the description says, "You can pay 1k mana to have her tweet", but I now see it only costs M250 to submit. Massive difference (we would need 40 tweets to make up the same mana expense), glad I didn't bet more.

bought Ṁ3,000 of YES

@Gen I changed the price after creating this market and forgot to update this description.

predicted NO

@SG All good, I punished you with a fitting 4 star review 😂

Hmm. As a general principle, I expect the market description to be reasonably accurate as of when the author wrote it, and don't expect it to stay up to date necessarily with changes to stuff outside the question itself. Like, if an author writes a question on whether DeSantis will win in 2024, and a day later he announces he's dropping out of the race, it's not the author's responsibility to update the question with that news.

predicted NO

@jack Yeah it really wasn’t a big deal and I could (should) have checked it myself with 1 click. Mostly poking fun with the review as the system was added same day

If more markets like this get created I will gladly bet NO and encourage mana deletion to mana-chan

@Gen Yeah, nothing against what you did, it seems very fitting haha. I just noticed a lot of other people followed suit with 4-star reviews, and wanted to counterbalance that a bit.

predicted YES
bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

Mana-chan has made 11 tweets.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan make that 12

bought Ṁ100 of YES

I made one