Will @DwarkeshPatel's podcast with Andreessen break 25k views on YouTube before March?
28
179
800
resolved Feb 14
Resolved
YES

It's a fantastic interview imho, but it will it get the views it deserves?

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bought Ṁ50 of YES

1 week and 19k views, massively performing above priors. 6k views in 3 weeks seems trivial now

bought Ṁ40 of NO

Let's look at similar podcasts!

CSPI (Richard Hanannia) has the most views (7.6k) on his Amy Wax episode. He got only 2.4k on the Andreessen episode, 3.8k for Tyler Cowen, etc.

Tyler Cowen (on the Mercatus channel) got 12k on his Andreessen podcast.

So, I'm pretty comfortable getting in at ~10%.

bought Ṁ25 of NO

Out of some 70+ interviews, the largest view count is Tyler Cowen's with 7k views on https://www.youtube.com/@DwarkeshPatel/videos . I also think @DwarkeshPatel's videos deserve more views, but on priors it seems unlikely

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@Austin Adjust priors also on how popular some of Andreessens other interviews are :) still less than a coin flip

predicted NO

@DwarkeshPatel Though I noticed most of the small Andreessen podcasts that really blew up mention Musk in the title ... wonder how much this matters, considering he probably has a pretty large number of people searching for him in particular.

I've heard that views through search really help in the algorithm. If you can change the title on the fly, might be worth A/B testing this.

bought Ṁ75 of YES

@jcp Just updated. Thank you so much for the very good idea!