How much revenue will Homepage Boosts drive in month 2?
24
10kṀ16k
2026
46%
<$2,000
45%
$2,000 - $10,000
9%
$10,000+

Manifold is thinking about letting users pay to promote their markets at the top of Browse. See this proposal for a rough sketch of what we're thinking about.

Thirty days after we launch some version of this idea, I will start the clock for another 30 day period. I will then the sum of all boosts sold in this period to resolve this market. If a boost costs $100 and a user pays in mana (Ṁ10,000), I will count that as a $100 transaction. If we don't launch a feature like this in 6 months, this market will be N/A'd.

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Are some boosts being subsidized?

@10thOfficial in what sense? (Maybe they are I have no idea but don’t follow)

@Ziddletwix Out of the 5 there today, were they all paid for by the user or by someone else? Just curious, that's all.

@10thOfficial ah got it. hmm glancing at some balance logs, it looks like these were mostly purchased by users themselves (staff have boosted some of their own markets & ian paid for the boost to the openai subscription? but my approach isn't comprehensive e.g. at a glance i'm not sure who boosted the zvi market)

So far the Stats page shows $1600 in sales on just 5 days of usage.

If we can just keep that up starting in 25 days.....

bought Ṁ500 NO

@Eliza According to SG the initial target is to sell 5 slots per day for the most possible revenue. Priced at $100 each, that would be $15,000 over 30 days. Maybe it will end up a little lower by then. We'll see.

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

For anyone looking for performance data. This was a boost on a very niche market, +8 new traders.

@10thOfficial Thanks for sharing. This is a bit lower than I would have hoped, but also better than zero.

For the record, I was one of the new traders but I literally only did it to see if it would come through in the statistics somewhere (which it did).....so, take that into account.

@10thOfficial The weekend also has lower traffic than weekdays...

@SG how many people have “for you” selected all the time? I use that toggle very actively (it’s super useful!) but a lot of users don’t curate topics and so they just leave FY always on/off. I think it might make sense for boosted questions to be on top for FY as well?

@Ziddletwix anecdote: I leave it on basically all the time.

@Ziddletwix Boosted markets will appear at the top of For You if users are following the relevant topics. Boosting changes a market's importance score across the entire site and also affects visibility on the Explore feed and related markets too.

@SG I think that’s sensible enough but if the # of views are lower than expected I’d check to see if many have for you turned on (without following many topics) and tbh I think it’d be fine if it got boosted even for those using For You, I mean it’s functionally advertising fine for it to be pushed

bought Ṁ250 NO

@Eliza yeah I do actively toggle it but I have a bunch of followed topics AND often bet outside that. Many users haven’t followed many topics so they aren’t using the feature (or just leave it always on)

@Ziddletwix Another anecdote: I try to leave it off most of the time but it keeps turning itself back on. I don't find it helpful, it just seems to hide markets from me.

reposted

I wish I could boost this market!

Were they not just taken away a month ago…?

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