I will pay out a bounty of M5000 to the first high-quality dashboard created on short- to medium- term AI capabilities. The dashboard should include at least 15 items (markets + external links) to be considered. It should include high-quality markets that are important for assessing AI timelines (ie no "extinction by the year 5000" markets) and should link to materials that would help nonexperts with technical backgrounds. I may pay out a smaller bounty to dashboards that don't meet my quality bar, at my discretion.
Related questions
Here's mine
Bonus: companies, policy, compute
This is mostly for my own purposes, so I don't mind if you'd like to save your bounty for something more targeted. I focused on "how should a typical person expect their life to change because of AI?", and mostly ignored safety-relevant timelines. I don't like links very much, but may some add as I come across things naturally.
I know this doesn't play well with the "dashboard as a news feed" feature, but I'd like to be able to create section headers (and other markdown), subcategories, and index funds to make all this info more presentable. Also grab-and-drop reordering markets within a dashboard is pretty broken.
Iām not entirely sure what kind of markets qualify. I started making a dashboard and Iād appreciate your feedback. Can you scroll really quickly through the 100+ markets added and tell me broadly which types to keep/remove?