Resolves YES if, from now until through July 14th, some portion of non-insider users are able to use the fancier voice mode (as opposed to the current text to speech system) that can, for example, talk faster or slower at will, or change the emotion and tone of the voice. That is, it roughly matches the GPT-4o demo. However, it will still resolve YES if there are additional restrictions on the voice mode, but it's still clearly the same system that was in the demo.
Resolves NO otherwise. Solely ugrades to the text to speech which are not the system that was in the demo will resolve as no. It must be called something with "4o" on the name, and must be available on the ChatGPT website or app, otherwise it resolves no.
Question idea from @Flowers, who had a similar question that ends today, June 24th.
I will let myself bet in this market because it's fairly unambiguous resolution criteria. If there is any unexpected ambiguity, the question will resolve to yes if 90% is hit and sustained above 89% for 3 days any time after July 25th, or to no if 10% is hit and sustained below 11% for 3 days any time after July 25th.
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On July 24th they announced they were starting to role it out, prior to that point it wasn't the advance voice mode they advertised.
https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1818353580279316863?t=mMTnZk3L0u9FcP7elJz67Q&s=19
There are videos etc. linked below. The only uncertainty was around branding; if it had turned out to be branded something other than "4o" it would have resolved NO, per the description.
https://x.com/testingcatalog/status/1805303694482882702?t=vzADd9r6uya8_1cJOKuQBg&s=19 says that those photos are of the UI only, not of the actual feature itself being enabled.
That specific photo may have been, but some users posted video showing them with access to the new, expressive voices. https://twitter.com/wongmjane/status/1805873170957635795?t=_wEEeiJmKcZY9QY8OdCvjA&s=19, https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/s/lgfCOsZoKU
The original wording says "from now until through July 14th" and "before July 15th." Since nothing in the question says "during" or "at" July 15th," etc., I would think that it would resolve YES, unless some other condition was not met (e.g., it says GPT 4.5 on the app instead of being accessed through or saying 4o).
This likely will resolve to yes, as one or more user(s) now have access:
https://x.com/wongmjane/status/1805863101637722167/photo/1
https://x.com/wongmjane/status/1805873170957635795
https://lemmy.world/post/16895728 (this link is not access to the features, but the menu is the same as the person with the full video.
Another screenshot of the invite without the feature: https://i0.wp.com/www.androidsage.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ChatGPT-v1.2024.170-features-Advanced-Voice-Mode.jpg
However, the video does not confirm it is "called something with '4o' on the name" (although it is very likely it is, e.g., you select GPT-4o and then click on a button), and I also have to wait for reasonable confirmation that this is on the ChatGPT website or app.