Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
5x ABS(Day Change %(SPCX)) The 1st Market Day After 1st Ship Catch Attempt.
1
Ṁ1kṀ16
Jan 1
49%
chance

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

Market will resolve to 5x the % change in stock price between market open and close that occurs on the next market day after an attempted Starship upper stage catch.

I use Scwabb as a brokerage but I am open to other sources of your suggestion if there appears to be any discrepancy. I will resolve to the nearest whole number.

1st Ship catch attempt is defined as the first flight of starship where a deorbit burn is committed putting starship on a trajectory towards the tower with the possibility of a catch.

Any value resulting from the Market’s formula greater than 100% will resolve as 100%.

CONTEXT

5x was decided upon as the largest single day move of the stock price was +19.2% on the day of its IPO. Meaning if you think it will move in a single day more than it ever has you would buy YES up to 100%.

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/spacex-stock-jumps-nearly-20-following-largest-ipo-ever-101955001.html

See also my other open market where the definition of the 1st starship catch attempt used here comes from and the lengthy debate that spawned it.

/RyanTyznar/will-starships-upper-stage-be-caugh

.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!