Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?
Basic
2
Ṁ79
2026
65%
chance

Resolves YES if there are any changes or additions to question types or resolution options, and any Manifold documentation, the UI, or a staff member suggests that these changes are at least partially intended for better handling of conditional markets.

For example:

  • if there were a new question type for conditional markets, this market would resolve YES

  • if the N/A resolution option were changed to refund all fees, and documentation or a staff member said that this change was made at least partially because of conditional markets, this market would resolve YES

  • if the N/A resolution option were changed to refund all fees, but not because of conditional markets, this market would not resolve YES

Otherwise, resolves NO on market close.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ46 YES

This market is essentially intended to be a slightly broader, better defined version of this market.

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