Resolves YES if Montero Lamar Hill (Lil Nas X) is convicted on at least one count filed in August 2025 from the Studio City incident—currently: three felony counts of battery with injury on a peace officer (Penal Code §243(c)(2)) and/or one felony count of resisting an executive officer (Penal Code §69). A conviction includes a guilty verdict or a guilty/no-contest plea with judgment entered. Convictions on lesser‑included or amended versions of these counts in the same case(s) count; convictions solely on unrelated counts added later do not. Verification: LA Superior Court Criminal Index and Case Summary.

Resolves NO if these cases conclude with no conviction on any of those counts (e.g., all are dismissed, defendant is acquitted on all, or diversion is completed and charges are dismissed). Entry into diversion without completion does not resolve the market; resolution depends on ultimate case outcome (conviction vs. dismissal). Appeals do not affect resolution unless a conviction is fully vacated before market resolution. If records are split across case numbers due to consolidation/transfer, the same standard applies.

I may make minor edits to the resolution criteria within the first three days of creation to better reflect the spirit of the market.

Close date is provisional, this market may not resolve until all August 2025 charges are fully adjudicated or dismissed at the trial court level.

Background

• On August 25, 2025, prosecutors charged Hill with three felony counts of battery with injury on a peace officer and one felony count of resisting an executive officer, stemming from an August 21 incident in Studio City. He pleaded not guilty in Van Nuys; bail was set at $75,000 with drug‑treatment conditions. (goodmorningamerica.com, nbclosangeles.com, abc7.com)

• The charged statutes are California Penal Code §243(c)(2) (battery on a peace officer causing injury) and §69 (resisting an executive officer). (leginfo.legislature.ca.gov)

Considerations

• California’s mental‑health diversion law (PC §1001.36) allows eligible defendants pretrial treatment; successful completion results in dismissal of charges—an outcome that would lead to NO. (codes.findlaw.com)