Will the US 2024 presidential election go the way of the popular vote?
26
1kṀ2319resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The United States presidential election uses a controversial winner-takes-all system where votes from individuals are batched together in each state to be counted as one voice, via an electoral college. This makes it possible for one candidate to win while more individual votes were cast for another.
This has happened a handful of times already, including in 2016 and 2000. See Wikipedia for a full list: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_in_which_the_winner_lost_the_popular_vote
This market will resolve to YES if the next elected president won the popular vote, otherwise it will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ96 | |
2 | Ṁ42 | |
3 | Ṁ31 | |
4 | Ṁ15 | |
5 | Ṁ14 |