Will I have a positive account balance at the end of 2023?
44
870Ṁ5532
resolved Aug 19
Resolved
N/A

I have been trading since December 2022 and I've maintained a small but mostly profitable profile. I typically like to bet on safer markets, however I am an idiot that can easily bite off more than I can chew.

Previous successes do not guarantee future returns.

Some factors to consider:

  • I haven't purchased any mana and currently do not intend to. This is a play site for me.

  • My account has been profitable for the majority of its lifetime.

  • I've had a small windfall from the WvM Market

  • I don't comb the site enough for new markets so my "confident bets" are certainly overrepresented

  • If Destiny stops fucking around playing management games and listening to orbiters fill his content time, I could be in trouble. Distancing himself from that content could lead to him potentially talking to Joe Rogan, which if happens, I'll never financially recover from it (probably)

I won't bet on this market, so there is no fear I'll purchase a bunch of mana to make my account profitable.

I'll determine the balance using the in app chart. Whatever my account reads at midnight Dec 31st, 2023 will determine the resolution of this market.

Plot twist: I've unlocked hard mode for manifold and have to claw my balance back into the positive from (currently) -373M before I can place bets to get daily bonuses again

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