Is swapcard doing some backend transaction / am I waiting for a db to sync, or did I lose my data / I have to retype?
Is swapcard doing some backend transaction / am I waiting for a db to sync, or did I lose my data / I have to retype?
4
70Ṁ133resolved Sep 18
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
My job title / employer is often the one I just typed in and not the one from 3 EAGs ago, but it's not fullproof. One of the fields is the one I just typed, another is blank, another is from 1 EAG ago. Also unclear what the profile picture situation is.
resolves NO if I end up retyping my data in the car tomorrow afternoon because otherwise it would just show the old stuff. resolves YES otherwise.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.