If Holly makes a second sidewalk protest for Pause AI, would I like to go?
6
46
130
resolved Oct 5
Resolved as
8%

Closes 5 days after round one (which is this friday), but could take a while to resolve if she takes a while to announce followup. Resolves NA if Holly becomes confident she won't do a second one. Resolves YES if I'm too busy or out of town to go, but otherwise would.

The post: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z7th38SxA5363XiFh/protest-against-meta-s-irreversible-proliferation-sept-29

The risk that Pause AI is a clumsy framing that makes the polarization process of AI regulation runaway like a paperclip factory is worrying to me, but right now I just wanna see what the vibe is and see if anybody walking by on the sidewalk changes my mind. I'm weak in my intention to attend round one, and 50/50 on if I'll attend round two.

I like Nora's post https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JYEAL8g7ArqGoTaX6/ai-pause-will-likely-backfire but I'm probably more optimistic than her of the way pause becomes a good idea in worlds where we all agree in each 6-24 month round what we'd like to test to decide on adjusting the next round of pausing. However it doesn't matter since I think defining these metrics is not something we're equipped for at all and won't be for at least 18 months.

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predicted NO

It's pretty unlikely but I might end up going

bought Ṁ65 of NO

Bought no not because I'm worried the tactic is fraught or has too much downside, or I'm too uncertain, moreso because of the subjective unpleasantness of signs/chanting

predicted YES

@Quinn If something is unpleasant to you, you can try to conquer that feeling by doing it. If you want to overcome the flinch. Or not! Just a thought.

predicted NO

@asmith sure I mean usually--- the point here is that I left all that behind / too old for this shit / I'm not walking into a "come out of retirement for one last job" situation. It's fun if you've never really protested but for me I used to protest tons of shit so I don't like the nostalgia