As in the crash was done intentionally by at least one willing person, inside or outside the company.
Resolve NO if there are no longer any active major investigations ongoing, 9 months from today.
Status as of July 22, 2024:
"The Department, and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (@CISAgov) are working with CrowdStrike, Microsoft and our federal, state, local and critical infrastructure partners to fully assess and address system outages." - https://x.com/DHSgov/status/1814286042318643492?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Aug 6, 2024: Crowdstrike releases Root Cause Analysis:
https://www.crowdstrike.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Channel-File-291-Incident-Root-Cause-Analysis-08.06.2024.pdf
Can this resolve now?
Edit: ah, I see the 9 months thing
Similar markets with arbitrage opportunities:
https://manifold.markets/jacksonpolack/was-the-crowdstrike-global-outage-c
https://manifold.markets/Symmetry/what-is-the-reason-for-the-global-i
I'll admit the structure of this market makes it harder to prove that something didn't happen; I'll resolve NO if there are no longer any active major investigations ongoing, and there has not been any evidence that this was done intentionally. This would exclude investigation do not outright state whether they are active/inactive.