[Poll] Which drugs would give you a negative view of your President if they took it before a debate? Yes = Negative View
[Poll] Which drugs would give you a negative view of your President if they took it before a debate? Yes = Negative View
15
1.1kṀ2757Jul 4
82%
Cocaine
76%
MDMA
23%
Ritalin
23%
Adderall
18%
β-blockers
17%
Modafinil
1 bet = 1 vote
Will resolve to N/A
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bought Ṁ50 YES8mo
MDMA would make him zone out and give a terrible performance. For that reason alone, you should have a poor opinion of him if he took it.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.