Will OpenAI be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?
117
749
Ṁ2.5k
2025
14%
chance
Non-sufficient DDoS Attack https://www.cpomagazine.com/cyber-security/openai-attributes-chatgpt-outages-to-a-ddos-attack-claimed-by-a-russian-hacktivist-group/
Sora Announced

Includes major DDOS attacks.

Resolves YES if:

  • Before January 1, 2025: Evidence emerges that OpenAI was the intended target and victim of a successful and significant cyber attack. "Successful" and "significant" as determined by relevant authorities and general consensus. DDOS attacks only count if they successfully create a near total outage that lasts for at least 12 hours. Market will resolve when relevant authorities have reached conclusions on any evidence that emerged before 2025.

Resolves NO otherwise.

I will not be participating in this market.

Edit 01/01/2024: Added "and victim" to title to align with description and resolution criteria.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

In a weird quirk of economics, nation-states and cybercrime groups are actually incentivized to not attack ChatGPT... because they're using it to improve their existing cyberattacks. Rule #1 of the Sahara - never start a fight at the watering hole.

https://www.theverge.com/2024/2/14/24072706/microsoft-openai-cyberattack-tools-ai-chatgpt

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