Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each driver who is officially announced as part of Red Bull Racing's driver lineup for the 2026 Formula One season. Official announcements from Red Bull Racing or reputable motorsport news outlets will serve as the primary sources for resolution.

Background

As of July 2025, Red Bull Racing's driver lineup for the 2026 season remains unconfirmed. Max Verstappen, the team's lead driver, is under contract until the end of 2028, suggesting his continued presence with the team. (planetf1.com)

The second seat has seen recent changes. Sergio Pérez, who joined Red Bull in 2021 and had his contract extended until 2026, mutually parted ways with the team in December 2024. (reuters.com) Following Pérez's departure, Liam Lawson was promoted to the main team but was replaced by Yuki Tsunoda after two races in the 2025 season. (en.wikipedia.org)

Red Bull has a history of promoting drivers from its junior program. Isack Hadjar, currently with Racing Bulls, has been identified as a potential candidate for the 2026 seat, contingent on his performance in the 2025 season. (the-race.com)

Additionally, Red Bull is preparing Arvid Lindblad for a potential Formula One debut in 2026, indicating a focus on nurturing young talent within their program. (motorsportweek.com)

Considerations

• Contractual Commitments: While Verstappen's contract extends to 2028, performance clauses or mutual agreements could influence his tenure.

• Performance Metrics: The performance of current and junior drivers in the 2025 season will likely impact Red Bull's decisions for the 2026 lineup.

• Market Dynamics: Speculation about driver movements, including potential interest from rival teams, may affect Red Bull's choices.

Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable news sources for updates on Red Bull Racing's driver lineup decisions.

• Update 2025-07-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only two drivers will be chosen for the final resolution.

  • Reserve drivers will not count towards resolution.