Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the option that best matches the 1-year EUR swap rate as of June 1, 2025. The rate will be determined based on data from reputable financial sources such as the European Central Bank (ECB) or other authoritative financial institutions. If the exact rate falls between two provided options, the market will resolve to the option that includes the actual rate within its range. If the rate is exactly on a boundary between two options, the market will resolve to the higher option.

Background:

The 1-year EUR swap rate is a key interest rate in the Eurozone, reflecting the fixed rate that one party is willing to pay in exchange for receiving a floating rate over a one-year period. It serves as a benchmark for various financial instruments and is influenced by factors such as monetary policy, economic conditions, and market expectations.

As of March 4, 2025, the 1-year Eurozone central government bond yield curve instantaneous forward rate was 1.95% (ycharts.com). Forecasts suggest a gradual decline in the EURIBOR 1-year rate throughout 2025, with projections indicating a decrease from 2.454% in January to 1.785% by December (top-stories.eu). These projections are subject to change based on economic developments and monetary policy decisions.

Traders should consider these forecasts and monitor economic indicators, central bank communications, and market trends to make informed predictions about the 1-year EUR swap rate on June 1, 2025.