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https://www.npr.org/2023/09/15/1199673197/uaw-strike-big-3-automakers

The UAW launches a historic strike against all Big 3 automakers

For the first time ever, the UAW launched a strike against all Big 3 automakers at once, starting with three locations in the Midwest.

https://twitter.com/UAW/status/1702533419148706021

https://twitter.com/IanKullgren/status/1702505909849640986

https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2023/09/over-1000-blue-cross-blue-shield-uaw-workers-walk-out-on-strike.html

Technically the UAW is on strike already. Not the primary group of UAW workers, but still…

I think this kinda swings on how much a "partial strike" /"targeted strike" counts

@Gabrielle

@Predictor

I'm pretty sure this should resolve this. The description does not state that they need to strike against the auto manufacturers, or that is needs to be a full strike. Only a strike by UAW is needed. This is an official strike by the union, and 1000+ workers is not just some tiny subgroup.

@Shump Manifold always looking for some gotcha. This is a straightforward question. Let’s make this easy, once NPR reports autoworkers are on strike it resolves yes. This is the headline so far:

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/13/business/auto-workers-targeted-strike-plan/index.html

United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain announced a targeted strike plan Wednesday if the union decides to walk out at General Motors, Ford and Stellantis after a contract expiration late Thursday.

Details of the plan, including which plants will be struck, will not be announced until just before the 11:59pm contract expiration on Thursday night, Fain said.

Autoworkers' targeted strike plan could limit workers on strike while grinding operations to a halt | CNN Business

United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain announced a targeted strike plan Wednesday if the union decides to walk out at General Motors, Ford and Stellantis after a contract expiration late Thursday.

Less than 48 hours left

Kalshi's real-money market is trading at 60c, way dislocated from this market!

https://kalshi.com/markets/uaw/auto-workers-strike#uaw-23

@AdhiR Go trade on Kalshi then, stop the spamming!

@AdhiR Kalshi requires a strike against all three major automakers, while this market requires only one.

FYI, Kalshi has posted a real-money version of this market with two differences:

1. The deadline for the market is the end of the year

2. The strike has to be against all of the big 3 automakers.

https://kalshi.com/markets/uaw/auto-workers-strike#uaw-23

@AdhiR Well this is what it is on the Manifold!!! This site built different. 😆

@Predictor What happens if there's just a partial strike, where the UAW strikes against just one company (eg. like in 2019, when they targeted GM only)?

@Predictor Need an answer on this ASAP

@Gabrielle Partial strike will count. So if for example only Ford is targeted, this will still resolve as yes.